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USC Casden Forecast Calls for SoCal Rent Increases to Continue

This year’s University of Southern California Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast predicts rent increases for the next two years throughout the region.  However, the annual report also noted that the economy’s surprising resilience can’t alleviate the region’s housing shortage.

“While fighting inflation, the Federal Reserve accomplished their soft landing after holding mortgage rates historically high,” said forecast author Moussa Diop, associate professor of real estate at the USC Sol Price School of Public Policy. “Though the economy has proven quite robust, new housing supply and affordability remain on shaky ground.”

He continued, “As rates drop slowly, the mortgage market will improve, but we’ve experienced a construction slowdown in an area dangerously tight on new supply. Meanwhile, states like Florida and Texas are outbuilding us. When it comes to housing, California is falling behind.” 

The annual forecast provides current and projected multifamily rents and vacancies for the next eight quarters in five regions: Los Angeles, Orange, San Diego and Ventura counties, and the Inland Empire: 

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USC's Diop

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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