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California  + Los Angeles  + Finance  | 

UCLA Anderson Projects Losses Up to $164B from LA Wildfires

Total property and capital losses from January’s catastrophic wildfires across Los Angeles County could range between $95 billion and $164 billion, with insured losses estimated at $75 billion, according to UCLA Anderson economists. The fires directly destroyed 16,240 homes and commercial properties, primarily in the Palisades and Eaton fires.

Because of the fires, UCLA Anderson projects a 0.48% decline in LA County GDP for 2025, amounting to approximately $4.6 billion. Local businesses and employees will have suffered a total of $297 million in wage loss.

Longer term, UCLA Anderson said, “Without substantial and effective wildfire mitigation efforts and investments, Californians will face increasingly higher insurance premiums and growing health risks from wildfire-related pollution.” Housing markets, especially for rental units, will become less affordable in the short term. The affordability issue will likely persist in the long term if the county fails to meet its regional Housing Needs Allocation goals.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Economy