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U.S. Office Lending Volume Surges in 2025

Even as the U.S. office sector ended 2025 with a 9.6% year-over-year decline in leasing volume, Avison Young’s just-released Q4 2025 U.S. office market overview points to a surge in both lending to owners and venture capital investment in occupiers. Lending activity rose 92% Y-O-Y to reach $45.8 billion in originations, with trophy and Class A properties capturing the lion’s share.

Origination growth was highly concentrated in Silicon Valley (up 559% Y-O-Y), Manhattan (+312%) and Orange County (+127%), signaling selective confidence in tech-driven and gateway markets, Avison Young reported. VC investment rose 27% Y-O-Y to $174 billion in 2025, with nearly half that tally going to office-using tenants in San Francisco.

“The surge in loan originations and venture capital investment underscores a clear vote of confidence in the future of office space—particularly in markets tied to technology and innovation,” said Danny Mangru, U.S. office lead, Market Intelligence at Avison Young. “Capital is flowing to quality assets and high-growth sectors, setting the stage for a more dynamic and competitive office landscape in 2026.”

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Avison Young's Mangru

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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