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U.S. CRE Pricing Extends Trend of Mild Annual Decreases

U.S. commercial property prices declined in May 2025, with the RCA CPPI National All-Property Index down 1.0% year-over-year and extending a trend of mild annual decreases over the past year, MSCI Real Assets reported Thursday. The index has posted five consecutive monthly decreases, and in May prices slipped 0.2% from April, implying a faster annualized decline of 2.8%.

“In the face of mounting macroeconomic uncertainty, commercial property prices have maintained stability so far,” according to MSCI Real Assets. “The wave of tariffs announced by the U.S. administration early in 2025 has yet to materially undermine pricing, likely due to the inherently slower transaction
timelines of the market.”

Pricing performance varied among the four main property sectors. Retail fared best with a 4.0% Y-O-Y gain, although the monthly increase of 0.2% implies a weaker growth rate of 1.9%. Y-O-Y growth for industrial pricing is on the verge of turning negative for the first time since July 2023.

Apartment prices dropped 1.1% Y-O-Y in May, a more moderate pace of annual loss than was seen over
the previous two and a half years. CBD office was again the weakest sector with a 6.2% annual decline, which nonetheless represented an improvement over the nearly 30% Y-O-Y drop a year earlier.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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