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Survey: Investors Expect Crash in Office Prices 

Office prices in the U.S. are headed for a crash, and the commercial real estate market faces at least another nine months of declines, according to Bloomberg’s latest Markets Live Pulse survey. About two-thirds of survey respondents believe the U.S. office market will only rebound after a severe collapse, while an even greater majority say U.S. CRE prices won’t hit bottom until the second half of 2024 or later. 

Commercial property values have been hit hard by the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening campaign, reported Bloomberg. However, lenders looking to offload their exposure now are finding few palatable options, because not many buyers are convinced the market is close to a bottom. 

“Nobody wants to sell at a huge loss,” said Lea Overby, head of CMBS research at Barclays Capital. “These are properties that don’t need to be sold for long periods of time, and that means holders are likely to delay a sale as long as they can.” 

Connect

Inside The Story

Barclays' Overby

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Sale/Acquisition
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