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Q4 Brings Strong Finish to Slower Year for Manhattan Investment Sales

Notwithstanding a strong fourth quarter, Manhattan investment failed to keep the momentum going from 2018 to 2019, Avison Young reported. The firm’s Q4 Manhattan report noted that much of the quarter’s strength derived from a single investor: Safehold, which executed a number of nine-figure ground leases.

The 2019 total for transaction count was 27% off on a year-over-year basis, while dollar volume was similarly down by 28%. For the 10-year average, these numbers were off by 37% and 49%, respectively.

AY’s report notes that “the restrictive rent regulations passed in June stalled the multifamily market, while slumping luxury condominium sales brought pause to the development segment.”

Safehold’s acquisitions, such as the $620-million ground lease on 425 Park Ave., helped push Q4 dollar volume to $5.2 billion, the highest of any quarter in 2019. Excluding the Safehold deals, Q4 dollar volume decreased by 12% based on the four-quarter average, AY reported.

Pictured: 425 Park Ave.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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