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Q1 2026 Investment Sales Total Shows CRE Market Thawing Out

First-quarter 2026 U.S. commercial real estate investment sales volume reached $112.6 billion, providing the clearest evidence yet that the two-year freeze is thawing, Avison Young reported. The figure represents an 18% year-over-year increase, putting volume back in line with 2017-2018 levels.

Apartments represented the largest segment of Q1 sales volume with $32.1 billion in closed deals, slightly ahead of industrial. However, the sharpest growth trajectory was posted by third-ranked office, with volume growing 38.6% from the year prior.

“Q1 2026 suggests the CRE transaction market has found its footing, and for investors, that’s the environment where disciplined buyers with dry powder tend to do well before the crowd fully returns,” write Avison Young’s Alex Ern and Will Dunkel. Based on historical averages and predictive modeling, volume for Q2 through Q4 is expected to reach $497 billion, bringing the yearly total to approximately $585 billion to $590 billion.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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