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Positive Market Fundamentals Ahead for Remainder of 2018

Commercial real estate executives continue to see strong and balanced market conditions for the remainder of 2018 and moving forward into the new year, according to The Real Estate Roundtable’s Q4 2018 Economic Sentiment Index.

Roundtable President and CEO Jeffrey DeBoer says, “Our latest Sentiment Index finds commercial real estate industry leaders experiencing continued positive market conditions and cautiously predicting solid performance into 2019. Concerns exist about interest rate and construction cost increases, as well as labor shortages. However, these concerns have not yet caused significant market disruption.”

The Roundtable’s Q4 2018 Sentiment Index registered at 50, a two-point decrease from Q3 2018. This quarter’s Current Conditions Index of 53 decreased by three points from the previous quarter. This quarter’s Future Conditions Index of 47, decreased by two points from the previous quarter.

DeBoer added, “After the midterm elections we look forward to continuing to work on positive, pro-growth national public policy. The nation needs policy action to address the growing labor shortage and infrastructure needs. The terrorism risk insurance act will also need to be extended in the new Congress.”

The report’s Topline Findings include:
– Responders pointed to the increase in costs for constructions projects, and the corresponding decline in development returns, as a concerning market factor. As a result, fewer responders were highly optimistic about market conditions in 2019, as yield becomes increasingly hard to find.
– For the first time in many quarters, a large proportion of responders are indicating a belief that asset values will start declining. However, pricing is expected to stay relatively strong for assets in major markets.
– Responders feel debt and equity capital are plentiful in today’s market. Equity investors and lenders alike continue to show a strong appetite for real estate.

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Inside The Story

Read more at Roundtable’s Q4 2018 Sentiment IndexConnect With Roundtable’s DeBoer

About Dennis Kaiser

Dennis Kaiser is Vice President of Content and Public Relations for Connect Commercial Real Estate. Dennis is a communications leader with more than 30 years of experience including as a journalist and in corporate and agency marketing communications roles. He is responsible for Connect’s client content operations and is involved in a range of initiatives ranging from content strategy, message development, copywriting, media relations, social media and content marketing services. In his most recent corporate communications roles, he led a regional public relations effort across Southern California for CBRE, played a key marketing role on JLL’s national retail team, and was responsible for directing the global public relations effort at ValleyCrest, the nation’s largest commercial landscape services company. In addition to his vast commercial real estate experience, Dennis has worked on communications and launch strategies for a number of residential projects such as Disney’s Celebration in Florida, Ritter Ranch in Palmdale California (7,200 homes, 22,000 acres), WaterColor in Florida and PremierGarage in Phoenix. Dennis’s agency background included firms such as Idea Hall and Macy + Associates. He has earned an outstanding reputation with organization leaders as a trusted advisor, strategic program implementer, consensus builder and exceptional collaborator. Dennis has developed and managed national communications programs for Fortune 500 companies to start-ups, both public and private. He’s successfully worked with journalists across the globe representing clients involved in major-breaking news stories, product launches, media tours, and company news announcements. Dennis has been involved in a host of charitable and community organizations including the American Cancer Society, Easter Seals, BoyScouts, Chrysalis Foundation, Freedom For Life, HOLA, L.A.’s BEST, Reach Out and Read, Super Bowl Host Committee, and Thunderbirds Charities.

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