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National  + Net Lease  | 

Net Lease Cap Rate Movement Signals Market Stabilization

Net lease cap rate activity in the third quarter of 2025 saw little change among property sectors, The Boulder Group reported. Average retail cap rates were unchanged at 6.57%, while office cap rates increased five basis points to 7.90% and industrial cap rates compressed by three bps to 7.20%.

“This minimal movement in cap rates reinforces the market stabilization observed in the second quarter of 2025,” said Randy Blankstein, president, The Boulder Group. “Following two years of cap rate expansion, participants in the net lease sector appear to be adapting to the current capital markets.”

Stability was further demonstrated in Q3 with the supply of net lease properties, according to The Boulder Group. Overall supply decreased just 0.5% during the quarter, with retail and office inventory declining by 1.4% and 1.1%, respectively. Conversely, industrial properties on the market increased by 6%, suggesting increased seller activity.

“Consistency in cap rates and market supply suggests greater alignment between pricing expectations between buyers and sellers,” said Jimmy Goodman, partner, The Boulder Group.

Pictured: A Circle K in Benton, AR that traded during Q3 in a sale arranged by The Boulder Group.

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The Boulder Group

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Sale/Acquisition
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