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MSCI: CRE Pricing Posts Smaller Annual Decline

All U.S. commercial property sectors posted annual price declines in July as deal activity retreated to the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic in early 2020. MSCI Real Assets reported Thursday. The RCA CPPI National All-Property Index dropped 9.6% from a year ago, a smaller annual decline than June’s 10.2% drop, and ticked up 0.3% from June.

The annual price decline for apartment properties once again eclipsed all other sectors at 12.2%. Despite three consecutive months of double-digit annual declines, the apartment index remains 21% above the level seen in April 2020, when the pandemic first affected pricing, said MSCI.

Retail prices fell 8.2% from a year earlier and 0.2% from June, in the largest year-over-year drop in the retail index since July 2010. The industrial index slipped 1.7% from a year earlier and 0.1% from June. Industrial only began posting year-over-year price declines in May.

Although suburban office prices rose on a monthly basis, increasing 0.3% from June, the CBD office index was the laggard among the major sectors, falling 0.6%. The suburban and CBD office indexes fell 7.5% and 9.3% Y-O-Y, respectively. July 2023 was the second-weakest July for office deal activity overall, while for CBD assets it was the worst July ever.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Sale/Acquisition
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