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Morgan Stanley, Savills See Challenges for Manhattan Office

New reports from Morgan Stanley and Savills predict challenging times for Manhattan’s office sector, due to the COVID-19 pandemic and its aftermath. The Morgan Stanley report says office vacancies could reach 12% by 2024, while Savills sees rents declining to about $62.47 per square foot in a prolonged recession.

“Many assume that when the stay-at-home measures are lifted, there will still be Covid-19 fears that will continue to materially influence behaviors and the economy,” Savills said. “These fears will likely remain until a vaccine or antibody therapy is developed and widely available, which experts currently estimate is at least 12 months away.”

However, Crain’s New York Business quoted leading office owners as questioning Morgan Stanley’s predictions. ““Most employees want to get back to work,” said Bill Rudin, the CEO of Rudin Management. There’s no substitute for the creativity and mentorship that happen in an office environment, he told Crain’s.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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