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Lenders Originating More High-LTV Loans
Debt funds are placing competitive pressures on the U.S. commercial mortgage sector. That is being propelled by the higher average loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) for the mortgages originated by these groups, according to research by Real Capital Analytics (RCA).
In the 12 months through Q1 2018, non-depository financial institutions tracked by RCA originated mortgages on existing commercial properties at an average 64% LTV. By contrast, lenders of all other types originated loans at an average 63% LTV.
RCA CRE economist Jim Costello writes, “The 100 bps difference in these measures may not seem like much, but it hides the skew towards higher LTV loans on the part of the debt funds: 20% of their loans are at LTVs of 80% or higher. For all other lender groups, by contrast, this 80%-and-higher range represents only 11% of their originations.”
Costello notes that the higher LTV ratios represent higher levels of risk. The debt funds are gaining market share, in some cases, by taking on levels of risk that other lenders cannot because of regulatory constraints. He points out that the overall share of lending tied to these debt funds is still low, but this competition in the debt markets so late in the market cycle raises concerns about financial market stability.
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