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Inflation Surprise Portends More Rate Hikes from Fed

Investors see a 100% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will announce an increase of at least 75 basis points in the federal funds rate next week, CNBC reported Tuesday, citing CME Group data. That’s following the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report showing that inflation rose faster than expected in August.  

The consumer price index rose 0.1% in August and 8.3% year over year. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, the CPI rose 0.6% from July and 6.3% from the same month in 2021. 

Economists had expected headline inflation to fall 0.1% and core to increase 0.3%, according to Dow Jones estimates. The respective year-over-year forecasts were for 8% and 6% gains. 

“Right now I think the Fed is going to be looking at this with a lot of concern,” Nomura economist Rob Dent told CNBC. “This is no good news across this report.” 

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Nomura's Dent

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Financing
  • ◦Economy
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