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Industrial Likely to Take Center Stage for the Next Three Years

California developers report mixed expectations for the state’s post-pandemic commercial real estate market until 2023. While industrial and multifamily housing markets are likely to grow in the next two years, retail and office markets are likely to contract.

These findings were assembled by the Allen Matkins/University of California-Los Angeles Anderson management school survey, which examines outlooks in office, industrial, retail and multifamily markets in major metropolitan areas.

To be sure, sentiment for the industrial market remains optimistic for the next three years, with respondents reporting current building plans that are marginally higher than pre-pandemic plans. In all California markets surveyed, respondents expect lease rate increases to exceed the rate of inflation and vacancy rates to shrink further by 2023. Therefore, the expectation is for a new wave of warehouse construction in the coming three years, said the survey.

The outlook for multifamily markets is improving in the East Bay and Sacramento, both considered bedroom communities for less-affluent commuters who work in coastal cities. Sacramento is always a key multifamily market thanks to significant government employment. Optimism for the Silicon Valley, Orange County and San Diego multifamily housing markets also increased. However, respondents in San Francisco and Los Angeles were pessimistic because of dramatic declines in rental rates.


Inside The Story

Learn More About the Survey Findings

About Lisa Brown

Lisa Brown has decades of experience in corporate communications and marketing management with organizations including Coldwell Banker Residential, Grubb & Ellis, Marcus & Millichap, NAIOP, SIOR and ALM. In those positions, she worked in conjunction with chief executive officers and chief marketing officers to create corporate messaging, cohesive branding standards, strategic marketing plans and thought pieces. Brown is a frequent speaker at industry events and an editing adjunct professor for an online course. She has a master’s degree in mass communications from San Jose State University.

  • ◦Economy
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