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Green Street: Midtown Office is 20% Overpriced

Midtown Manhattan office properties look 20% overpriced compared to the major markets on the West Coast based on current pricing, Green Street Advisors says in a new report. The advisory firm draws that conclusion based on its launch of Atlas, an interactive mapping and analytics platform that grades about 6,000 zip codes on the metrics believed to be the dominant drivers of rent growth.

By comparison to Westside Los Angeles and San Francisco, Midtown’s long-term NOI growth is anywhere from 50 to 70 basis points lower. Green Street analysis shows that values on L.A. office properties have increased 20%, while those in Midtown declined by 6%.

“Green Street has had success at sector picking through our IRR-based sector allocation framework,” said the firm’s Andy McCulloch. “We have long aspired to extend that valuation framework down to the market level to help real estate investors make bets geographically.”

For comments, questions or concerns, please contact Paul Bubny

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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