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Fed Beige Book Cites “Rising Uncertainty and Greater Downside Risk”

Although national economic activity continued to expand from early April to mid-May, conditions varied across industries and Federal Reserve Districts, the Fed said in its latest Beige Book report. In particular, commercial real estate activity softened during the period amid supply concerns, tight credit conditions and elevated borrowing costs.

“Overall outlooks grew somewhat more pessimistic amid reports of rising uncertainty and greater downside risk,” according to the Beige Book. Most of the Fed’s 12 districts reported slight or modest growth, while two noted no change in activity.

Retail spending was flat to up slightly, “reflecting lower discretionary spending and heightened price sensitivity among consumers,” according to the Fed. The central bank’s key measure of inflation, the personal consumption expenditures price index, is due to be released on Friday.

With inflation still trending above the Fed’s target of 2%, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate in its current range at the June 11-12 meeting.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Economy
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