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Fannie Mae Survey Predicts Continued Home Price Growth and Weak Sales

Following an average expectation for national home price growth of 5.2% in 2024, a panel of more than 100 housing experts forecasts price growth to decelerate to 3.8% in 2025 and 3.6% in 2026, according to the Q4 2024 Fannie Mae Home Price Expectations Survey, produced in partnership with Pulsenomics, LLC. The panel’s latest estimates of national home price growth represent an upward revision from last quarter’s expectations.

Fannie Mae’s Economic & Strategic Research Group also surveyed panelists on their general housing outlook for 2025. On average, the panelists expect existing home sales to remain sluggish for another year, new home sales to trend slightly upward and mortgage rates to remain elevated but modestly decline to 6.3% throughout 2025.

“We share our panelists’ view that home price growth is likely to decelerate next year, as the mix of continued elevated mortgage rates and the run-up in home prices of the past four years will likely continue to strain affordability and remain an impediment to many would-be homebuyers,” said Mark Palim, Fannie Mae SVP and chief economist.

Pictured: Fannie Mae headquarters in Washington, DC.

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Fannie Mae's Palim

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Economy
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