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Fannie Mae Revises GDP Forecast Down for 2021, Up for 2022

Fannie Mae’s Economic and Research Group on Thursday said its full-year 2021 real GDP growth forecast was revised modestly downward. That’s due partly to the expectation that COVID-related disruptions to consumer spending and supply chains will more greatly hinder economic activity in the year’s second half than previously forecast. 

Accordingly, the full-year growth forecast was lowered to 6.3% from July’s prediction of 7%. However, the downgrade was offset partially by an upgraded 2022 growth forecast from 2.8% to 3.2%. 

“While the recent surge of COVID-19 cases appears to be affecting consumer behavior, the economic response so far has been modest compared to last year’s outbreak, and its impact on our latest forecast is similarly slight, albeit to the downside,” said Mark Palim, Fannie Mae deputy chief economist.  

He added that in the single-family home market, lack of inventory and supply-chain bottlenecks for homebuilders remain the primary constraints on sale activity.  

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Economy
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