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Fannie Mae Downgrades Forecast for 2019, 2020

Fannie Mae downgraded its projections for full-year 2019 and 2020 U.S. economic growth to 2.1% and 1.5%, respectively. The government-sponsored corporation’s Economic and Strategic Research Group (ESR Group) attributes the low projections to “expected weakness in business fixed investment and softening global economic conditions.”

“The ratcheting up of international trade tensions, including tariffs applied by the U.S. and China, as well as the threat to impose tariffs on Mexico, could lead to higher prices and a possible reduction in consumer and business confidence,” according to the forecast, which was released June 17. “Potentially effecting a further pull back in consumer spending and business fixed investment.”

The ESR Group does expect housing to continue providing an economic cushion by way of a “lower and stabilizing mortgage rate environment, and a rise in the inventory of homes for sale.” The group previously forecast growth of 2.3% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020.

For comments, questions or concerns, please contact David Cohen

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About David Cohen

David Cohen is Southeast Editorial Director at Connect Commercial Real Estate. David is a media veteran with more than 10 years of experience in journalism, copywriting and communications across a variety of roles. He is responsible for covering commercial real estate news and trends in the Southeast, Florida, Washington D.C. and Boston at Connect CRE as well as specializing in the Student Housing sector. Prior to joining Connect, David was the editor of Northeast Real Estate Business magazine and Student Housing Business magazine at France Media as well as spending time freelancing for ESPN and the Associated Press in the fast-paced field of live sports event production. He is also an owner and investor in multifamily real estate in Atlanta, GA. David currently resides in Atlanta and graduated from the College of Communication & Information at the University of Tennessee Knoxville.

  • ◦Economy
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