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National  + Finance  | 

Direct Impact to CRE of Government Shutdown Likely to be Limited

The direct impact of the federal government shutdown on commercial estate will be limited, although broader economic effects could still ripple through the sector, Marcus & Millichap reported. A newly published Research Brief says the greatest potential impact on CRE would come from a pullback in spending or hiring if business and consumer confidence weaken.

Most tenants and commercial property operators and owners fulfill their daily operational needs without directly interacting with the federal government. “A notable exception would be the financial subsidies provided by the Department of Housing and Urban Development to private landlords to help low-income renters,” according to Marcus & Millichap. “HUD payments could be impacted if the shutdown lasts more than 30 days,” as occurred in late 2018 and early 2019.

Meanwhile, the Research Brief notes, “from an investment sales perspective, financing is still available, including from Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This means that transactions can close.”

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Financing
  • ◦Economy
  • ◦Policy/Gov't
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