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CRE Loan Closings Rise 67% Y-O-Y in Q4 2025

The CBRE Lending Momentum Index, which tracks the pace of CBRE-originated commercial loan closings in the U.S., increased 67% year-over-year to 1.2 at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, reaching levels comparable to 2018. The growth was driven by a 26% Y-O-Y increase in permanent loan financing, with December reaching the highest monthly level since 2021.

“We are seeing a bifurcated but increasingly healthy commercial real estate lending market,” said James Millon, president & co-head of capital markets, U.S. & Canada, for CBRE. “While we see rising delinquencies and legacy loan sales in the secondary markets, these are being easily absorbed by a deep pool of capital. Directionally, credit spreads continue to tighten, backed by a strong liquidity profile and nearly 100% market participation.”

Alternative lenders, including debt funds and mortgage REITs, led CBRE’s non-agency loan closings in Q4 2025, accounting for 40% of total volume, up from 23% a year ago. Banks held the second-largest share of non-agency loan closings at 35%, down from 43% a year ago, although bank origination volume increased 73% quarter-over-quarter. Life companies accounted for 19% of non-agency loan volume, down from 33% a year ago, while CMBS lenders represented 7% of non-agency loan volume, up from 1% a year ago.

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CBRE's Millon

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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