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California  + Retail  | 
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Offers $300M of Convertible Notes

CMBS Office, Retail Rate of Loan Defaults Rise

The rate of office and retail CMBS loan defaults rose in July, according to the latest research by Trepp. The six-month moving average of probability of default (PD) rates are at all-time highs for office and retail in 2017, with the industrial average almost above its mid-2010 high.

Trepp’s study looked at the number of new defaults in every period as a percentage of the total, which considers loan count, not balance. Higher recent rates mean that on a monthly basis, a larger share of outstanding loans is entering default than during the depths of the recession.

That’s not too surprising, since 2017 has experienced record loan maturity volume and when taking into consideration the denominator effect, notes Trepp. That is offset, to some degree, by the fact that defaults are only counted once when they first occur. Underlying default rate trends help investors see trends develop.

For comments, questions or concerns, please contact Dennis Kaiser

Connect

Inside The Story

Read more at TreppConnect With Trepp’s Joe McBride

About Dennis Kaiser

Dennis Kaiser is Vice President of Public Relations and Communications for Connect Creative. Dennis is a communications leader with more than 40 years of experience including as a journalist and in corporate and agency marketing communications roles. He is responsible for Connect Creative’s agency client services and is involved in a range of initiatives ranging from public relations and content strategy, communications and message development, copywriting, media relations, social media and content marketing services. Prior to joining Connect Media in 2015, his most recent corporate communications roles involved leading a regional public relations effort across Southern California for CBRE, playing a key marketing role on JLL’s national retail team, and directing the global public relations effort at ValleyCrest (BrightView), the nation’s largest commercial landscape services company. He has worked on marketing communications assignments for such CRE companies as Blackstone/Equity Office, Carlyle, Caruso, Disney Resorts, GE Capital, Irvine Company, Hines, Howard Hughes Corp., Jeffries, Lennar, MGM, Marcus & Millichap, Prologis, Raleigh Studios, Simon, Starwood, Trammell Crow Company, Transamerica, UBS and Wynn Resorts. Dennis has also worked on communications and launch strategies for a number of consumer electronic, media and tech brands including SlingMedia, Channel Master, Deluxe Media Entertainment, BeIn Sports, EchoStar and Sprint. Dennis’s agency background included firms such as Off Madison Ave., Idea Hall and Macy + Associates. He has earned an outstanding reputation with organization leaders as a trusted advisor, strategic program implementer, consensus builder and exceptional collaborator. Dennis has developed and managed national communications programs for Fortune 500 companies to start-ups, both public and private. He’s successfully worked with journalists across the globe representing clients involved in major-breaking news stories, product launches, media tours, and company news announcements. Dennis has been involved in a host of charitable and community organizations including the American Cancer Society, Easter Seals, Boy Scouts, Chrysalis Foundation, Freedom For Life, HOLA, L.A.’s BEST, Reach Out and Read, Super Bowl Host Committee, and the Thunderbirds Charities.

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