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CBRE Forecasts Economic Growth in 2025 Along with Risk of Higher-for-Longer Rates

The U.S. economy is poised for above-average growth in 2025, driven largely by consumer spending. This growth and potentially persistent inflation may mean interest rates will stay higher for longer, CBRE says in its 2025 U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook.

CBRE foresees several positive developments in 2025. These include a modest increase in commercial real estate investment volume, a topping out of vacancy in the office market, and rising occupancy and rents in the multifamily sector despite robust new supply. The firm also anticipates reverberations for the retail and industrial & logistics sectors from the anticipated higher U.S. tariffs on foreign goods.

“The U.S. economy has achieved a rare soft landing in the face of higher interest rates, and the outlook for growth in 2025 is increasingly optimistic,” said Richard Barkham, CBRE’s global chief economist and global head of research. “Risks to this outlook include the large U.S. fiscal deficit, which adds to bond market volatility, and the fragility of the Chinese economy.”

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Sale/Acquisition
  • ◦Economy