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Cap Rates Continue Expansion for Net Lease Retail, Industrial Properties

Retail cap rates have increased across all sectors, with the dollar store and grocery sectors seeing rises of up to 23 and 19 basis points, respectively, B+E said in its latest net lease cap rate report. However, other sectors have experienced only minimal cap rate adjustments since the third quarter of 2024, with convenience stores remaining unchanged and QSR cap rates rising by just one bp.  

Since the end of August, there has been an increase in supply across all retail asset classes, the report stated. The casual dining, banking and convenience store sectors have experienced the largest supply increases, with rises of 21%, 20%, and 17%, respectively.

In contrast, the auto parts and pharmacy sectors saw the smallest growth in supply, with changes of 6% and 7%, respectively. Newly available listings make up 34% of the properties currently on the market. 

The industrial market has experienced a 28% increase in the number of available properties, with the distribution sector seeing a 27% rise. Major industrial players, such as FedEx, currently have 15 properties on the market, with an average cap rate of 6.55% and an average of 6 years remaining on the lease term. Among industrial property types, manufacturing facilities have seen the largest increase in cap rates, which have gone up 16 bps to 7.51% as of Q4. 

Among specialized property types, such as urgent care center and dialysis facilities, cap rates have compressed slightly since the end of Q3, according to B+E.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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