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California Exodus: Half of State’s Voters Have Considered Leaving

Half of the Golden State’s registered voters admit to having given serious (24%) or some (28%) consideration recently to leaving California. According to the latest UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies Poll, only modest differences are seen across most major regional or demographic subgroups of the state.

Still, researchers found there are significant partisan and ideological differences when examining the opinions of voters giving serious consideration to moving out of state. The poll found that Republicans and conservatives were nearly three times as likely to have seriously considered moving as their Democratic or liberal counterparts, 40% compared with 14%.

The Berkeley IGS poll’s Mark DiCamillo told the L.A. Times, “If the people who are giving serious consideration for leaving are indeed going to follow through, the state will continue to get bluer and bluer. That has huge political implications.”

The high cost of housing (71%) was cited as the most common reason given by voters for wanting to leave California. However, high taxes (58%) and the state’s political culture (46%) were also prominently mentioned, particularly by Republicans and conservatives.

Other key poll findings include:
– Half the of state’s registered voters (50%) now describe California as “one of the best places” to live, up from 43% who felt this way in 2013. Democrats and liberals were nearly three times as likely as Republicans and conservatives to describe California as one of the best places to live.
– Seven in 10 voters in the San Francisco Bay Area (70%) and Los Angeles County (70%) think California is a land of opportunity, this declines to 55% among voters in the Central Valley.
– 72% of voters under age 30 believe California is a land of opportunity, fewer than two in three say this across each of the four other age segments.
– Unaffordable housing costs were cited as a reason for thinking about leaving by 82% of the 18- to 29-year-olds, and nearly 80% of 30- to 39-year-olds.

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For comments, questions or concerns, please contact Dennis Kaiser


Inside The Story

Read more at Berkeley IGS PollConnect With Berkeley IGS Poll’s DiCamillo

About Dennis Kaiser

Dennis Kaiser is Vice President of Content and Public Relations for Connect Commercial Real Estate. Dennis is a communications leader with more than 30 years of experience including as a journalist and in corporate and agency marketing communications roles. He is responsible for Connect’s client content operations and is involved in a range of initiatives ranging from content strategy, message development, copywriting, media relations, social media and content marketing services. In his most recent corporate communications roles, he led a regional public relations effort across Southern California for CBRE, played a key marketing role on JLL’s national retail team, and was responsible for directing the global public relations effort at ValleyCrest, the nation’s largest commercial landscape services company. In addition to his vast commercial real estate experience, Dennis has worked on communications and launch strategies for a number of residential projects such as Disney’s Celebration in Florida, Ritter Ranch in Palmdale California (7,200 homes, 22,000 acres), WaterColor in Florida and PremierGarage in Phoenix. Dennis’s agency background included firms such as Idea Hall and Macy + Associates. He has earned an outstanding reputation with organization leaders as a trusted advisor, strategic program implementer, consensus builder and exceptional collaborator. Dennis has developed and managed national communications programs for Fortune 500 companies to start-ups, both public and private. He’s successfully worked with journalists across the globe representing clients involved in major-breaking news stories, product launches, media tours, and company news announcements. Dennis has been involved in a host of charitable and community organizations including the American Cancer Society, Easter Seals, BoyScouts, Chrysalis Foundation, Freedom For Life, HOLA, L.A.’s BEST, Reach Out and Read, Super Bowl Host Committee, and Thunderbirds Charities.

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