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May PPI Rises Less Than Expected, Supporting Case for Fed Caution

Producer prices rose 0.1% in May, falling short of the 0.3% forecast and rebounding from April’s revised 0.2% decline (initially -0.5%), according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On a year-over-year basis, the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 2.6%, matching expectations and accelerating slightly from April’s revised 2.5% gain. 

Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose 0.1% for the month—below the 0.3% consensus and following a 0.2% decline in April (revised from -0.4%). Annually, core PPI climbed 3.0%, slightly softer than the expected 3.1% and down from a revised 3.2% in the prior month. 

The data, released a day after cooler-than-expected consumer inflation figures, reflects modest underlying price pressures and reinforces expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a cautious stance on rate cuts. Wholesale price trends in the coming months will play a key role in shaping the Fed’s next policy moves. 

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About Joe Palmisano

Joe Palmisano is Editorial Director for Connect Money, where he brings nearly three decades experience of market insights as a financial journalist, analyst and senior portfolio manager for leading financial publications, advisory firms, and hedge funds. In his role as Editorial Director, Joe is responsible for the selection of content and creation of daily business news covering the financial markets, including Alternative Assets, Direct Investment and Financial Advisory services. Before joining Connect Money, Joe was a financial journalist for the Wall Street Journal, regularly publishing feature stories and trend pieces on the foreign exchange, global fixed income and equity markets. Joe parlayed his experience as a financial journalist into roles as a Senior Research Analyst and Portfolio Manager, writing daily and weekly market analysis and managing a FX and US equity portfolio. Joe was also a contributing writer for industry magazines and publications, including SFO Magazine and the CMT Association. Joe earned a B.S.B.A. in Finance from The American University. He holds the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation and is a member of the CFA Institute.

  • ◦Economy
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