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Big-Box Warehouse Deals Make Strong Comeback

Demand for warehouses larger than 500,000 square feet surged in the second half of 2025, signaling a strong rebound in big-box activity after a brief slowdown in 2023 and 2024, Cushman & Wakefield says in a new report. Titled Large-Format Deals Return, the report finds that leases exceeding 500,000 square feet jumped 32% year over year, with third-party logistics providers and manufacturers generating nearly two-thirds of that activity. Accordingly, the vacancy rate for this class of warehouses declined 104 basis points Y-O-Y.

“This is a clear return of the large-format tenant,” said Jason Price, Americas head of logistics & industrial research at Cushman & Wakefield. “Companies are consolidating operations, upgrading to higher-quality facilities and making more strategic decisions about where and how they deploy space.”

The “flight to quality” is also driving more build-to-suit activity, according to the report. For investors, “reaccelerating demand combined with a development pipeline near an eight-year low is expected to improve occupancy across key distribution markets,” the report states.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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