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AI Growth Looks Like a Boon for U.S. Office Market

The growth of artificial intelligence is poised to change the mix of U.S. jobs, not necessarily eliminate a significant amount of them, CBRE reported Wednesday. Just 5% of U.S. office-using jobs are considered highly vulnerable to disruption by AI.

Another 18% of jobs are highly adaptable to AI and thus likely to endure. The remaining 77% are in the middle ground of being exposed to change but not significant disruption.

The jobs most likely to be displaced by AI, including payroll and timekeeping clerks and tax collectors and revenue agents, are largely focused on individual work, often done remotely. Conversely, the jobs that AI supports, such as financial and investment analysts, computer network architects and AI engineers, tend to focus on collaborative work often done in the office, reported CBRE. 

“History has shown that technological advancements often lead to more jobs rather than fewer,” said John Morris, CBRE’s group president of advisory leasing. “After the advent of both the Internet and the smartphone, office-using jobs made large gains in share of overall U.S. jobs. Our analysis indicates that the upside of AI for the office market is greater than the downside.”

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CBRE's Morris

About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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