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Industrial New-Lease Count Returns to Historical Peak

The U.S. industrial new lease count index has returned to its historical peak, while the renewal index has fallen, according to data from CoStar Group. Large tenants have led new-lease recovery, as the index for leases of 200,000 square feet or more has climbed to 92% of its peak, while the 50,000 – 199,999 square-foot segment has recovered to about 90%.

Smaller tenants remain closer to previous leasing highs, with all categories below 50,000 square feet standing at roughly 91-98% of the peak. However, momentum has begun to level off in several size ranges.

“While new leasing activity has recovered, it does not translate one-for-one into net absorption,” said Juan Arias, national director of industrial analytics at CoStar Group. “Relocations and weaker renewals can leave space behind, meaning recovery will also be influenced on how quickly landlords can backfill existing buildings. Nationally, demand is extending beyond the newest warehouses into older buildings larger than 500,000 square feet, while midsized buildings still face excess supply and elevated competition for tenants.”

Pictured: Building 2 at Southport Logistics Center in Wilmer, TX, where Logistics Plus leased 744,452 square feet in August.

Read More News Stories About: CoStar
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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 19-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 35-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 11-15 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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