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Multifamily, Hospitality CMBS Pose Greatest Refinance Risk in October

Refinancing risk for hard maturities in CMBS has shifted from office to multifamily and hospitality this month, Trepp reported. That’s due to a pair of large single-asset single-borrower loans that are severely impaired, carrying a debt yield below 6.0%: a national multifamily portfolio and a Honolulu resort, which together account for 66.79% of the severely impaired balance. In September, retail represented the largest share of severely impaired loans.

By share of October hard maturities, office still leads at 27.03%, followed by retail at 22.6% and multifamily at 18.66%. In all, 2026 hard maturities total $76.6 billion, exceeding either of the prior two years, with a back-loaded profile as 39% of the loans are due in the fourth quarter.

In total, 19.44% of the cohort balance is in special servicing approaching hard maturity. Unlike September, when office accounted for 74.94% of special-servicing balance, October’s is spread across office (29.71% of all special-servicing balance), retail (29.23%), and multifamily (22.96%), according to Trepp.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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