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Retail Leads as CRE Recovery Diverges Across Sectors, Markets

The U.S. commercial real estate recovery is following markedly different paths across property sectors and markets, Integra Realty Resources (IRR) said in its newly released 2026 Mid-Year Viewpoint Report. More than 90% of retail markets surveyed are in recovery or expansion, while office markets remain evenly divided between recovery and recession. Multifamily performance is shaped largely by local supply cycles, while industrial markets are concentrated primarily in the expansion and hypersupply phases.

Across all four sectors, IRR’s data show a continued flight to quality, with modern, well-located and specialized properties outperforming older or commodity-oriented assets. Meanwhile, speculative construction has slowed sharply.

“National data provide essential context, but the clearest picture emerges when it is informed by what is happening on the ground,” said IRR CEO Anthony M. Graziano. “Investors cannot assume that modest rate cuts will meaningfully improve transaction economics, particularly while long-term borrowing costs and equity return requirements remain elevated. Through year-end and into 2027, we expect opportunities to remain concentrated in markets and assets where the basis, income growth and local demand support the investment case.”

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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