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National  + Finance  |  February 11, 2025
Paul Bubny
By: Paul Bubny

MBA Forecasts 16% Increase in CRE Mortgage Volume for 2025

Total commercial and multifamily mortgage borrowing and lending is expected to rise to $583 billion in 2025, a 16% increase from 2024’s estimated total of $503 billion. That’s according to an updated baseline forecast released by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) at its 2025 Commercial/Multifamily Finance Convention and Expo in San Diego.

Multifamily lending alone is expected to reach $361 billion in 2025, also a 16% year-over-year increase. MBA anticipates originations in 2026 will increase to $709 billion in total commercial real estate lending, with $419 billion of that total in multifamily lending.

“There are still plenty of challenges in commercial real estate, but there are also signs of stabilization,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s SVP and chief economist. “Given the strong pickup in origination activity at the end of 2024, it appears that at least some borrowers and lenders are ready to move.”

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).
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