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U.S. Affordable Housing Completions Likely to Peak in 2025

U.S. affordable housing completions are likely to peak at a multi-year high of 78,377 units in 2025, 12.6% higher than in 2024, Yardi Matrix reported. The momentum may be short-lived, though, as 2026 deliveries are set to fall to 64,745 units.

Six markets are slated to break through the 2,000 fully affordable deliveries ceiling in 2025. Austin tops the list with 3,452 units, followed by Los Angeles (2,752 units), Brooklyn (2,701), Phoenix (2,688), Miami (2,037) and Seattle (2,018).

Affordable construction starts shrank by 28.7% year-over-year in 2024 to 66,000. Market-rate starts dropped at a steeper angle, falling 47% last year.

“The need for affordable housing has accelerated in recent years, and that is not likely to change as interest rates remain high and construction of for-sale housing lags historical levels,” said Paul Fiorilla, director of research for Yardi Matrix. “Despite that demand, the decline in starts signals fewer affordable multifamily deliveries in the years following 2025.”

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).