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LightBox Market Survey Sees “Rational Exuberance” in Q4

The latest LightBox Market Confidence Index, although still elevated, reflects a slight moderation in the dramatic improvements of late 2020 and early 2021. The firm says early indications from the broker, valuation, lending, and environmental due diligence sectors indicate that a robust fourth quarter is well underway.  

LightBox’s Dianne Crocker said the forecast is one of “rational exuberance, a combination of optimism led by healthy investment and underwriting activity but tempered by concerns about the COVID variant’s effect on the market and inflation.”   

Asked to forecast how they expect their 2021 annual volume to compare to 2020, 30% expect a “substantial increase” over last year, and another 49% expect a “slight increase.” Respondents in the Southwest, Southeast and Mid-Atlantic were slightly more likely to report improving market conditions compared to those in the Northeast and West. 

Most respondents are looking to expand staff, and very few are downsizing, LightBox said. 

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Financing
  • ◦Economy
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