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New Demand for Office Dips, But at Lower Rate Than Pre-Pandemic

After six consecutive months of growth, new demand for office space eased in July as concerns took hold over a surge in delta variant COVID-19 cases. However, the monthly decline—also spurred by seasonal fluctuation—was lower than the typical July pre-pandemic seasonality in both 2018 and 2019, VTS reported.  

Nationally, the VTS Office Demand Index is now 16% below its 2018-2019 average, which is used as the index’s baseline. New office demand dropped 1.2% in July from June, but the drop was lower than the average July decline in 2018 and 2019 of 5.1%. New office demand is up 282% year-over-year. 

“The delta variant is causing some uncertainty across the economy, so it’s no surprise we’re seeing that reflected in demand for office space as well,” said VTS CEO Nick Romito. “But there’s no need to hit the panic button yet. We’re likely looking at another delay to full recovery, but early indications point to continued relative stability as seen earlier in the year — not the massive drop-offs we saw when the pandemic first began.” 

Boston, Los Angeles and Seattle bucked the national trend with a month-over-month increase in new demand, according to VTS. 

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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