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NAIOP Study: Industrial Demand Still Outpaces Supply

Driven by sustained growth in e-commerce, demand for industrial real estate continues to outpace supply, leading to increases in net absorption for the rest of the year and through 2022, according to NAIOP’s newly issued Industrial Space Demand Forecast. 

“With nearly 100 million new square feet delivered nationally since the beginning of the year, 450 million square feet currently under construction and another 450 million planned, the demand for industrial real estate still outpaces supply,” say the authors, Hany Guirguis, and Michael J. Seiler. 

Because of this, Guirguis and Seiler forecast that total net absorption in the second half of 2021 will be 162.6 million square feet, with a quarterly average of 81.3 million square feet. In 2022, they project net absorption of 334.6 million square feet, averaging 83.6 million square feet per quarter.  They’ve returned to their pre-pandemic confidence intervals now that economic conditions have become more predictable. 

Pictured: Bridge Point Downers Grove Phase II in Downers Grove, IL.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

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