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“External Factors” Give Manhattan Condo Buyers Pause in Q2

Second-quarter sales of residential condominiums and co-ops in Manhattan slipped 16.6% from a year ago, marking the third consecutive quarter of annual declines and the lowest Q2 total in nine years. Miller Samuel’s Jonathan D. Miller, reporting on the sales market for Douglas Elliman, cited “external factors outside of the vibrant city economy,” including rising mortgage rates and “an unclear direction of the national economy.”

However, Miller’s latest Housing Notes posting makes the point that year-over-year sales drops aren’t confined to Manhattan. The same uncertainty is giving potential buyers pause in other markets Miller covers, notably Aspen, CO, where Q2 volume was down by one-third.

Due to three consecutive quarters of Y-O-Y declines, Manhattan listing inventory has had a chance to increase, according to Miller. At 6,985 condos and co-ops listed, the total at the end of Q2 was up 10.7% Y-O-Y and the highest since 2012.

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About Paul Bubny

Paul Bubny serves as Senior Content Director for Connect Commercial Real Estate, a role to which he brings 16-plus years’ experience covering the commercial real estate industry and 30-plus years in business-to-business journalism. In this capacity, he oversees daily operations while also reporting on both local/regional markets and national trends, covering individual transactions across all property types, as well as delving into broader subject matter. He produces 7-10 daily news stories per day and works with the Connect team and clients to develop longer-form content, ranging from Q&As to thought-leadership pieces. Prior to joining Connect, Paul was Managing Editor for both Real Estate Forum and GlobeSt.com at American Lawyer Media, where he oversaw operations at both publications while also producing daily news and feature-length articles. His tenure in B2B publishing stretches back into the print era, and he has served as Editor in Chief on four national trade publications. Since 1999, Paul has volunteered as the newsletter editor of passenger rail advocacy groups (one national, one local).

  • ◦Economy
  • ◦Sale/Acquisition